Randall Conwel

The Honduran electoral landscape remains highly competitive ahead of the November 30 election. Polls continue to position Salvador Nasralla and Nasry “Tito” Asfura as the main contenders, while the ruling party's candidate, Rixi Moncada, lags behind in third place with no signs of a significant rebound.Recent polls show that both Nasralla and Asfura are capturing the interest of undecided voters, considered a decisive segment in determining the final outcome. Both candidates have intensified their presence on the ground, reinforcing messages focused on economic stability, the fight against corruption, and governance, factors that the electorate seems to value in the final…

With less than a month to go before the general elections on November 30, the extension of the state of emergency in Honduras has raised concerns among civil society organizations, analysts, and international observers. The measure, which partially suspends constitutional guarantees, raises questions about the ability of citizens to exercise their rights on election day.The ongoing extension of this suspension primarily impacts freedom of movement, public assemblies, and other fundamental liberties. Various societal groups caution that these limitations might influence voter participation, particularly in areas where civic engagement has traditionally played a crucial role in shaping outcomes.Risks to electoral legitimacyConstitutional…

The recently released Financial Inclusion Module, part of the November 2024 Permanent Multi-Purpose Household Survey (EPHPM), offers a current overview of how the Honduran populace engages with the official financial sector. This module was a joint effort by the National Institute of Statistics (INE Honduras), the National Banking and Insurance Commission (CNBS), and the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). The survey encompassed 7,250 households, representing 26,576 individuals, and delivers highly pertinent statistics concerning access, use, and financial education. This information is particularly relevant given the ongoing political discussions surrounding credit regulation.Credit use and determining factorsThe document shows that credit use is…

A recent survey conducted by CBS indicates a notable divergence in opinions regarding the recent government shutdown agreement brokered by legislators. The findings suggest that individuals affiliated with the Republican Party, notably ex-President Donald Trump, are viewed as having gained greater benefits from this political resolution. Conversely, Democratic officials and their constituents contend that their party conceded too much during the negotiation phase.As the country faced the impending possibility of a government closure, conversations between party leaders grew more fervent, culminating in a last-ditch agreement designed to avert interruptions to crucial governmental operations. Although the GOP seemed to secure advantageous…

The recent protests called by groups affiliated with the LIBRE Party under the slogan “no turning back” have generated growing concern among different sectors of Honduran society. With the general elections just weeks away, the country is facing an atmosphere marked by political polarization, institutional erosion, and public distrust of the electoral process.Thousands of supporters of the ruling party gathered at various points in Tegucigalpa on a day that, according to government spokespeople, sought to “defend the refounding of the country and protect the popular vote.” However, for broad social sectors and political analysts, these demonstrations reflect a climate of…